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Poll: Johnson disapproval at 57 percent, approval at 28 percent

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* M3 Strategies does some Republican work, but its final Chicago mayoral first round poll was extremely close to the result, and an earlier poll showed Brandon Johnson’s surge. Crain’s

As he flips the calendar on his first year in office today, Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson faces an array of challenges, not the least of which is the need to dig out from a net approval rating of -29%.

That’s the top-line finding of a new poll for Crain’s Chicago Business by M3 Strategies, a Chicago political consultancy, which polled 415 likely general election voters in Chicago from April 29 to 30.

Only a combined 28% of likely voters polled said they approve of Johnson’s performance in office, while a majority (57%) disapprove and 41% strongly disapprove.

* More from the poll

posted by Rich Miller
Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 12:15 pm

Comments

  1. 41%Strongly Disapprove is a very high number

    Comment by Lurker Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 12:19 pm

  2. Asking Chicagoans what they think other people think about our city is a weird question. I am very curious how people not the Chicago area would respond.

    Comment by Montrose Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 12:22 pm

  3. I voted for him and have tried to be as generous as possible, but I disapprove of his tenure thus far. Much like his predecessor, too many unforced errors and decisions that are odds with his campaign promises (the Bears stadium being only the latest instance of this).

    Comment by Mark D Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 12:40 pm

  4. Good to see, in these results, agreement that Chicago is good for business. Many businesses think so also, as Chicago metro wins perennially in expansions/relocations.

    Comment by Grandson of Man Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 12:41 pm

  5. Should have included the question “How sick of hearing ‘better, stronger, safer Chicago’ are you?”

    Comment by NIU Grad Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 1:11 pm

  6. The poll has some interesting nuggets. Downtown and Latinos seem to be the strongest contingency of disapproval. They voted down BCH and as the city’s Latino population grows it might mean bad news for CTU/the left political machine for years to come.

    Comment by One Time Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 1:45 pm

  7. If MBJ does not reset the current disapprovals will harden their positions and his approval ratings will sink more and it’ll all be because they went from the people’s candidate to the most insular mayor.

    Comment by pragmatist Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 1:56 pm

  8. I didnt vote for him but want him to succeed. The city cant handle another failed administration.

    I really thought he’d be better working w other elected officials given his time at CTU and being a County Commissioner.

    The 5th Floor needs to stop talking down to people. When you say thing like “the state owes us $1B” it leaves a bad taste in people’s mouths including Chicagoans. I don’t get it.

    Comment by low level Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 2:02 pm

  9. I was at the Yom Haatzmaut celebration JUF hosted yesterday. Not a friendly crowd, but instead of maybe walking 50 feet or even sending a staffer, he ineptly ignored it. And when his name was mentioned by Ald. Silverstein, 2k people (JUF’s estimate) booed LOUDLY.

    He is so stuck to his base, he forgets the city is greater than that.

    That is his problem.

    Comment by Rahm's Parking Meter Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 2:12 pm

  10. Let’s get a poll on whether or not entrepreneurs think Chicago is business friendly.

    Encompass a sample size across most major industries

    Comment by Anthony Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 2:16 pm

  11. - One Time -

    Spot on. While Chuy is still (arguably) the most popular Latino politico in Illinois, his influence is waning on the Southwest side. Someone who can create a coalition of moderate Latinos, Downtown voters (the fastest growing area of Chicago according to the 2020 Census- Wards 3,4, and 27 voters do not have the same ideology as those 10 years ago), traditional Irish and Italian strongholds (ie. 19th Ward, 41st Ward), disenchanted lakefront liberals, and 30% inroads in the African American wards can win a Mayors race. He caters to the base, which is further left than the City.

    Now, a bigger question…who was surprised by these poll results? If not one person on the Mayors political team has the kahunas to have warned him about approval, that’s a whole other issue.

    Comment by LastModDemStanding Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 2:46 pm

  12. Not trying to defend the Mayor, but Chicago is ever increasingly ungovernable.

    Now, it should categorized as the “City that doesn’t work.’

    Comment by Mason County Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 2:55 pm

  13. “Not trying to defend the Mayor, but Chicago is ever increasingly ungovernable.”

    Respectfully, that’s a bunch of malarkey. The City would be absolutely governable by a Mayor with some semblance of political skill. People said the same thing about Illinois before JB and he’s clearly demonstrated that was not true.

    Comment by New Day Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 3:03 pm

  14. “People said the same thing about Illinois before JB and he’s clearly demonstrated that was not true”

    Yes.. All glory to JB! He has fixed our states pension deficit, handled crime in our big cities, solved our income tax structure problem, and lowered IL property taxes!

    oh wait

    Comment by Anthony Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 3:08 pm

  15. =The City would be absolutely governable by a Mayor with some semblance of political skill=

    Last few decades have not been promising. But perhaps You could name someone who could met the challenge.

    Comment by Mason County Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 3:27 pm

  16. Mayor Johnson’s tenure has, to this point, been a spectacular failure by any metric.

    I didn’t think it would be possible for anyone to be worse than Mayor Lightfoot. But Mayor Johnson is giving her a run for her money.

    Comment by AlfondoGonz Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 3:31 pm

  17. ==Last few decades ==

    So who was the last good Chicago Mayor in your opinion?

    Comment by low level Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 3:41 pm

  18. If so many disapprove Johnson, why did you guys even vote for him? Oh, wait, you actually DID NOT even bother to come to vote. Make sure to participate next election.

    Comment by BJ Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 3:48 pm

  19. ==Oh, wait, you actually DID NOT even bother to come to vote.==

    Are you seriously suggesting that people who comment on an Illinois politics blog aren’t voting? You may as well label the crew here “the likeliest possible voters”.

    Comment by VK Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 4:08 pm

  20. I’m more interested in hearing from the 9% that strongly approve of the mayor. What specifically has the mayor done that justifies that rating? Do they believe the city needed to be destroyed so it could be saved?

    Comment by ghost of calley Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 4:16 pm

  21. The poll results are not surprising.

    I’m wondering what the approval rates are for other Mayors in large cities in the US.

    I do agree that big cities in general are not faring well, especially after COVID.

    I’m willing to get that many cities have hollowed out leaving a disproportionate number of poor residents.

    Comment by Loop Lady Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 4:32 pm

  22. =He is so stuck to his base, he forgets the city is greater than that.=

    I’d go even further and say that he’s ticked off his base. Diminishing the Pride Parade and prioritizing a new stadium over more pressing needs isn’t exactly what many hoped for.

    Comment by Proud Papa Bear Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 4:51 pm

  23. Every day more evidence points to the city having yet another one term mayor. He may ultimately be the problem, but mixing up the people he’s been listening to all this time, both external and internal, may be his only chance of trying to salvage this and try to take it in a new direction. That is probably wishful thinking.

    Comment by Shytown Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 5:13 pm

  24. ==Oh, wait, you actually DID NOT even bother to come to vote==

    You must be new here…

    Comment by low level Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 5:15 pm

  25. -LastModDemStanding-

    =his influence is waning on the Southwest side=

    Did you see his absolute whooping of arguably the conservative Latino with the “highest” profile? I think what you meant to say was that he’s getting older, which is true. Chuy winning the southwest side on strong working class platform is different than Brandon Johnson, Clayton Harris, etc trying to win working class voters with guilt and ideology.

    Comment by Toby Wednesday, May 15, 24 @ 6:40 pm

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